Our long-range forecast shows:
- May to July rainfall is likely to be within the typical range for most of the country
- below average rainfall is likely almost nationwide during May
- warmer than average May to July temperatures are likely.
Australia had its warmest March on record. Mean temperatures were above average almost everywhere, with broad areas of southern and central Australia recording their warmest March on record.
Tropical Cyclone Alfred brought heavy rainfall to south-eastern Queensland and northern New South Wales in early March. Later in the month, a persistent inland trough brought heavy rainfall to western Queensland and northern New South Wales. Many areas had more than 4 times their March average rainfall, and some had their wettest March on record. In contrast, March rainfall was below average for some southern areas.
Since February last year, rainfall has been in the lowest 5% of the historical record for southern parts of Western Australia and South Australia, most of western Victoria and parts of western Tasmania. For some, it has been the driest 14 months on record.
Soil moisture, as of the 8th of April, is very much above average to highest on record across large parts of northern Australia, following the recent heavy rainfall. While in parts of the south, soil moisture is currently drier than average.
Looking ahead, May to July sea surface temperatures are forecast to remain warmer than average in the Australian region, and close to average across the tropical Pacific.
Although we are entering the cooler months, May to July daytime temperatures are very likely to be above average across Australia. And there's an increased chance of unusually warm days, particularly in the south. Overnight temperatures are also very likely to be higher than average from May to July. There's an increased chance of unusually warm nights, especially across parts of the west and in the south.
May rainfall is likely to be below average across most of Australia, except the east coast, where it's likely to be within the typical range for May. For the three months May to July, scattered parts of the south and east are likely to be drier than average, including areas that have had persistently below average rainfall in recent months. For many areas, rainfall is expected to be within the typical range for this time of year and wetter than average for parts of Western Australia. We're heading into the dry season in the north when typically very low rainfall totals are observed.
For April to June, high streamflow is likely for most sites in the east. Streamflow is likely to be low for parts of the south.
We update the long-range forecast regularly. Select your location to find out more.
- May to July rainfall is likely to be within the typical range for most of the country
- below average rainfall is likely almost nationwide during May
- warmer than average May to July temperatures are likely.
Australia had its warmest March on record. Mean temperatures were above average almost everywhere, with broad areas of southern and central Australia recording their warmest March on record.
Tropical Cyclone Alfred brought heavy rainfall to south-eastern Queensland and northern New South Wales in early March. Later in the month, a persistent inland trough brought heavy rainfall to western Queensland and northern New South Wales. Many areas had more than 4 times their March average rainfall, and some had their wettest March on record. In contrast, March rainfall was below average for some southern areas.
Since February last year, rainfall has been in the lowest 5% of the historical record for southern parts of Western Australia and South Australia, most of western Victoria and parts of western Tasmania. For some, it has been the driest 14 months on record.
Soil moisture, as of the 8th of April, is very much above average to highest on record across large parts of northern Australia, following the recent heavy rainfall. While in parts of the south, soil moisture is currently drier than average.
Looking ahead, May to July sea surface temperatures are forecast to remain warmer than average in the Australian region, and close to average across the tropical Pacific.
Although we are entering the cooler months, May to July daytime temperatures are very likely to be above average across Australia. And there's an increased chance of unusually warm days, particularly in the south. Overnight temperatures are also very likely to be higher than average from May to July. There's an increased chance of unusually warm nights, especially across parts of the west and in the south.
May rainfall is likely to be below average across most of Australia, except the east coast, where it's likely to be within the typical range for May. For the three months May to July, scattered parts of the south and east are likely to be drier than average, including areas that have had persistently below average rainfall in recent months. For many areas, rainfall is expected to be within the typical range for this time of year and wetter than average for parts of Western Australia. We're heading into the dry season in the north when typically very low rainfall totals are observed.
For April to June, high streamflow is likely for most sites in the east. Streamflow is likely to be low for parts of the south.
We update the long-range forecast regularly. Select your location to find out more.
Long-range forecast: May to July 2025
10 April 2025
Our long-range forecast video provides a look at likely rainfall, streamflow, and temperature for the months ahead.